Methodology, glossary and market context. Coverage begins in 2011.

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Confidence grading

Every record shows how strongly the available evidence supports it.
GradeWhat it meansDeals
AVerified against a primary source: official disclosure, regulator filing, DFI press release, or full article text confirming every figure.300
BA named publisher or credible trade or business publication. Figures are reported as published and have not yet been checked against a primary document.471
CA headline, aggregator or social source that the analyst could not fully corroborate. Treat it as a lead rather than a confirmed fact.45

Grades are set during mining and reviewed every Friday against archived source text. A record is never upgraded without a primary document.

Index methodology

See how we build the three headline indices.

Funding index. Monthly disclosed capital, with debt weighted 1.5 times against equity and grants because it is the scarcer financing signal.

Capacity index. Megawatts entering the tracker each month, weighted by maturity. Operational capacity counts three times, construction twice, late development 1.5 times and early development once.

Policy index. The monthly policy count multiplied by the average analyst assigned impact score.

All three indices use the previous 12 month average as a base of 100. A reading above 100 means activity is running above that average; it is not an absolute measure.

Deal type glossary

Understand what each transaction label means.
project financeNon or limited recourse debt secured against a single project's cash flows. This is the standard structure for utility scale IPPs.
corporate debtDebt raised against a company's balance sheet rather than one project. This includes refinancings and portfolio facilities.
equity raiseNew equity into a company or project vehicle, from sponsors, DFI equity arms or funds.
maAn acquisition of a company, project stake or portfolio where control or ownership changes hands.
refinancingReplacement of existing debt, usually to reprice, extend tenor, or release equity.
guarantee facilityA DFI or insurer guarantee that covers credit or political risk. It supports a financing but is not the financing itself.
grantFunding that does not need to be repaid, usually for technical assistance or capital support from a DFI or donor.
dfi commitmentA commitment approved by a development finance institution board, often before commercial close.

Deal stage glossary

Understand where each transaction sits in its lifecycle.
announcedPublicly disclosed; terms may still be indicative.
mandatedLead arranger(s) or advisor appointed; financing not yet closed.
financial closeConditions precedent are satisfied and funds are available to draw. Lenders use this as the key bankability milestone.
disbursedCapital has actually moved.
pledgeAn umbrella programme, memorandum of understanding or investment pledge that is not yet binding. It is shown separately and excluded from tracked capital and the funding index.
cancelledPublicly abandoned or withdrawn.

Country primers

Market structure, pipeline, capital, policy and evidence across 53 ranked markets.
MarketRegion / poolOfftakerRegulatorScore
South AfricaSouthern Africa
SAPP
Eskom / NTCSANERSA100.0
EgyptNorthern Africa
COMELEC;EAPP
EETCEgyptERA59.2
NigeriaWestern Africa
WAPP
NBET / DiscosNERC32.1
DR CongoMiddle Africa
CAPP;EAPP;SAPP
SNELARE26.0
ZambiaEastern Africa
SAPP
ZESCOEnergy Regulation Board25.2
KenyaEastern Africa
EAPP
Kenya Power (KPLC)EPRA24.7
MoroccoNorthern Africa
COMELEC
ONEEANRE19.6
EthiopiaEastern Africa
EAPP
Ethiopian Electric PowerPetroleum and Energy Authority16.2
NamibiaSouthern Africa
SAPP
NamPowerECB9.9
GhanaWestern Africa
WAPP
ECGPURC / Energy Commission8.8
TunisiaNorthern Africa
COMELEC
not yet profilednot yet profiled8.7
AngolaMiddle Africa
SAPP;CAPP
ENDE/RNTIRSEA8.0
UgandaEastern Africa
EAPP
UETCLERA7.0
ZimbabweEastern Africa
SAPP
ZETDCZERA6.7
Côte d'IvoireWestern Africa
WAPP
CIEANARE-CI6.6
BotswanaSouthern Africa
SAPP
BPCBERA6.1
SenegalWestern Africa
WAPP
SenelecCRSE5.9
RwandaEastern Africa
EAPP;CAPP
REG/EUCLRURA5.1
TanzaniaEastern Africa
EAPP;SAPP
TANESCOEWURA4.9
MauritaniaWestern Africa
COMELEC
not yet profilednot yet profiled4.4
LiberiaWestern Africa
WAPP
LECLERC4.2
MozambiqueEastern Africa
SAPP
EDMARENE3.9
CongoMiddle Africa
CAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled3.8
DjiboutiEastern Africa
EAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled3.2
CameroonMiddle Africa
CAPP
ENEOARSEL2.5
MadagascarEastern Africa
not yet profilednot yet profiled2.5
GuineaWestern Africa
WAPP
Electricité de GuinéeMinistry of Energy / AREE2.3
GabonMiddle Africa
CAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled2.1
Sierra LeoneWestern Africa
WAPP
EDSAEWRC2.1
TogoWestern Africa
WAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled2.1
MauritiusEastern Africa
not yet profilednot yet profiled1.9
Burkina FasoWestern Africa
WAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled1.8
MalawiEastern Africa
SAPP
ESCOMMERA1.8
BeninWestern Africa
WAPP
SBEEARE Benin1.6
ChadMiddle Africa
CAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled1.5
EswatiniSouthern Africa
SAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled1.4
AlgeriaNorthern Africa
COMELEC
not yet profilednot yet profiled1.3
MaliWestern Africa
WAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled1.3
LesothoSouthern Africa
SAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled1.2
SomaliaEastern Africa
EAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled1.2
Cabo VerdeWestern Africa
not yet profilednot yet profiled1.1
LibyaNorthern Africa
COMELEC;EAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled1.1
NigerWestern Africa
WAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled1.1
BurundiEastern Africa
EAPP;CAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled0.7
C. African Rep.Middle Africa
CAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled0.7
EritreaEastern Africa
not yet profilednot yet profiled0.7
GambiaWestern Africa
WAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled0.6
SeychellesEastern Africa
not yet profilednot yet profiled0.5
SudanNorthern Africa
EAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled0.4
Guinea-BissauWestern Africa
WAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled0.3
South SudanEastern Africa
EAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled0.3
ComorosEastern Africa
not yet profilednot yet profiled0.1
São ToméMiddle Africa
CAPP
not yet profilednot yet profiled0.1

Technology primers

Review tracked capacity and capital by technology.
TechnologyProjectsMWDeals$m
Hybrid200115,34912118,575
Hydro7665,196286,832
Solar48160,50925124,241
Other6636,91322972,266
Wind7235,289328,143
Grid4417,30010223,229
Gas66,86900
Geothermal244,93861,067
BESS411,83714685
solar_pv;wind11,40020
solar_pv; bess11,0002620
solar_pv;gas_to_power140000
solar_pv;wind;bess168115
102017,466
Overview

Primers are generated from sourced registries and refreshed with the database. "Not yet profiled" means activity data exists but the full market profile is still being prepared.